Election

Research: 890,000 Americans may die due to COVID lockdowns

Researchers estimate that woman and African Americans will be hit hardest in the short-term, but white men may suffer larger consequences in the future.

Jan. 17, 2021

A new working paper from US National Bureau of Economic Research predicts disastrous long-term effects of the COVID-19 lockdowns.

The paper, authored by Francesco Bianchi from Duke University, Dongho Song of Johns Hopkins University, and Giada Bianchi of Harvard Medical School, examines the long-term consequences of the COVID-19 lockdowns.

The paper predicts an excess death of 890,000 Americans over the next 15 years due to the unemployment caused by COIVD lockdowns. “These figures translate in a staggering 0.89 million additional deaths over the next 15 years,” the researches write.

The team estimates that woman and African Americans will be hit hardest in the short-term, but white men may suffer larger consequences in the future.

The team calls on government officials to consider the long-term impacts of lockdowns. “We interpret these results as a strong indication that policymakers should take into consideration the severe, long-run implications of such a large economic recession on people’s lives when deliberating on COVID-19 recovery and containment measures. Without any doubt, lockdowns save lives, but they also contribute to the decline in real activity that can have severe consequences on health.”

It’s a point that even Nate Silver recently made.

Click to read the full working paper.

Categories: Election

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